Into the Future
CBC News Online | March 22, 2005
In the 2001 census, 13 per cent of
Canadians identified themselves as belonging to a visible minority.
But by 2017, if Statistics Canada projections hold true, that number could climb
to between 19 and 23 per cent.
What's more, by Canada's 150th birthday, almost 95 per cent of visible minorities
would live in metropolitan areas, with three-quarters living in Toronto, Vancouver
or Montreal. And about one-half of the people living in Toronto and Vancouver
would belong to a visible minority by 2017.
According to the projections, the visible minority population of Toronto will
range between 2.8 million and nearly 3.9 million within 12 years.
Sustained Immigration to Canada
The main reason for this, StatsCan says, is an expectation of sustained immigration
to Canada over the next 12 years, and the fact that a high proportion of immigrants
Statistics Canada set up five different scenarios for future immigration rates
and population growth. These scenarios predict that Canada's immigrant population
could reach between seven million and 9.3 million in 2017.
That's an increase of between 24 per cent and 65 per cent from 2001, while the
non-immigrant population of Canada would increase just four to 12 per cent.
Chinese and South Asians were the largest visibly minority groups in Canada
according to the 2001 census, and the projection doesn't see that changing.
Roughly one-half of all visible minorities would belong to those groups by 2017.
Blacks would remain Canada's third-largest minority group, reaching a population
of about one million.
Distribution of Immigrants in Canada
In Toronto, about a third of visible minorities would be South Asians. Nearly
one half of the visible minority population in Vancouver would be Chinese. And
in Montreal, blacks and Arabs would remain the largest visible minority groups,
representing 27 per cent and 19 per cent of the minority population, respectively.
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